What Is the Evidence for Determinism?
The belief that every event is fixed precisely by law had never been in greater vogue, and one question is put to it: on what grounds? Neither observation nor methodological postulate turns out to supply any.
A man who comes to borrow money and, asked for security, replies that he postulates the loan — that is the answer that determinism is a presupposition of scientific reasoning. Measurement fares no better, since no observation has ever shown exact conformity to a formula and probable inference cannot establish that anything holds without exception everywhere. Meanwhile growth, increasing diversity and consciousness go unexplained. In their place Peirce puts absolute chance, minute departures from every law, out of which regularities grew as habits.
- necessitarianism
- determinism
- indeterminism
- chance
- spontaneity
- causation
- laws of nature
- free will
- fallibilism
- measurement
- observation
- scientific method
- emergence
- consciousness
Enter a dialogue
- The ancient atomist Epicurus had to let atoms swerve from their courses by spontaneous chance. Why did that rescue the theory instead of wrecking it?
- The mechanical view, you say, files consciousness under “sundries, as a forgotten trifle”. Why is feeling so awkward for a universe run entirely by exact law?
- A person who has suffered something senseless is told it was fixed from the beginning. What does a world with real chance in it offer them instead?
- What would distinguish a world with minute spontaneous departures from one that is strictly lawful and only imperfectly measured?