A Scale for Arguments
How can anyone tell a sound proof from a convincing mistake? The book offers a test that applies to theology, law and philosophy alike, and ranks the starting points of every argument by how far they can be trusted.
Logic, the opening says, does for reasoning what prosody does for verse and grammar for speech: without it a broken argument can pass for a proof. The book then ranks the premises an argument can start from, from first truths and things seen, through repeated experience and widely reported facts, down to opinions people merely share and judgments of imagination that feel certain and are false. Experience earns its place through a hidden inference, that what recurs so regularly cannot be chance. A conclusion is only as strong as its weakest premise.
- logic
- syllogism
- demonstration
- certainty
- inference
- fallacies
- probability
- induction
- perception
- imagination
- reason
Enter a dialogue
- Something that happens every time cannot be chance, you say, and that hidden inference is what makes experience trustworthy. How many repetitions does certainty need?
- Some judgments of the imagination feel as certain as the first truths of reason and are still false. How is anyone to catch their own mind doing that?
- Someone keeps hearing the same rumour about a whole group of people until it feels like knowledge. What has gone wrong in their reasoning?
- You compare logic to prosody, which tests a line of verse by its metre. What does a broken argument sound like to someone trained in logic?