General Causes, Chance and Small Decisions
Is history made by great forces or by accident? Tocqueville refused both answers: large causes set the stage, while chance, temperament and small decisions settle what happens on it.
Historians explained everything by general causes, and politicians saw nothing but accident. Tocqueville, who had watched events from the Chamber, the Assembly and the foreign ministry, took his stand between them. Broad forces made a revolution possible; whether it came in February, how it ran and who survived it depended on temperament, luck and choices made in a room. He tested the claim on the people around him and did not exempt himself.
- revolution
- political change
- political crisis
- political judgment
- collective action
- political conflict
Enter a dialogue
- Four kings, from Charles I to Louis-Philippe, were misled by the light the past throws on the present. Why do history's warnings mislead the rulers who heed them?
- Historians who never held office saw great forces everywhere, you noticed, while politicians saw only small incidents. Why does each side misread a revolution?
- In a crisis you followed one rule, to sit where people are used to seeing you. Why would keeping one's usual seat matter when a revolution is loose?
- Weren't the causes of the February Revolution of 1848 so powerful that no decision in the Chamber could have mattered?